
A revolt rooted in Gaza
At the heart of the anti-Labour challenge is the Newham Independents Party (NIP), a group of mostly Muslim candidates running for seats on the council and the post of Newham mayor.
Formed in 2024, the group has campaigned heavily on an anti-Labour, pro-Palestine ticket and has achieved noteworthy success in a very short space of time.
They currently hold four seats on the local council and in the 2025 general election, NIP councillor Sophia Naqvi came second in the race for the parliamentary seat of West Ham and Beckton amassing more than 7,000 votes following an impressive campaign.
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The NIP hopes that increasing national frustration over Labour’s scandals, pro-Israel foreign policy stance, an inability to confront the rising far-right and a spiralling cost of living crisis will spark a surge in support for their movement at the key moment.
Councillor Mehmood Mirza, the NIP’s Mayoral Candidate for May 7, told 5Pillars: “East London has had enough of being ignored at home and betrayed abroad. Our communities demand safe streets, decent homes and justice for Gaza. Independent candidates are rising because people want courage, honesty and real change. This election is our chance to put people before party politics.”
Local campaigners told 5Pillars that Labour no longer reflects the moral concerns of a borough with one of the UK’s largest Muslim populations.
The groups string of successes suggests this is not just protest politics, as Labour would like media analysts to believe. It suggests it is a targeted campaign to build a credible alternative rooted in local concerns – housing, council finances, and accountability – while also reflecting a national Muslim political uprising first sparked by public anger over the genocide in Gaza and a growing demand by British Muslims for genuine political representation.
Can Labour be defeated?
Despite an ongoing Muslim political rebellion against Labour, it would be premature to predict a full collapse of the party’s control in Newham. Labour still holds the overwhelming majority of council seats and retains deep organisational roots, but this election is clearly very different.
A fragmented field, a record number of candidates, and the convergence of local grievances with international outrage have created the perfect conditions for an upset. Analysts note that even if Labour retains the mayoralty, a significant loss of council seats – or even a move to no overall control – would mark a political earthquake in East London.
Similar uprisings are happening in other traditional Labour strongholds, including Redbridge, Birmingham and Bradford, again with pro-Palestine Muslim independents leading the charge.
Newham has a population of 382,984, according to the 2021 census, and is one of the most ethnically diverse boroughs in the country.
However, no single ethnic group forms a majority, with Bangladeshi residents the largest group at 15.9% and White British residents at 14.8%.
It has the second-highest proportion of Muslim residents in the UK after neighbouring Tower Hamlets, at 32%, as well as the fastest-growing population of any London borough, meaning the Muslim vote will be significant.
The NIP needs to mobilise Muslims but will also likely need to attract disgruntled non-Muslim, left-wing voters who no longer wish to back Labour. The high-flying Greens may undermine this strategy, as they too are attracting significant interest from both former Labour voters and Muslims alike.
When the ballots are counted on 7 May, the results will resonate far beyond Newham. A strong showing for Muslim-aligned independents would signal a further shift in British Muslim political behaviour – away from traditional party loyalties and towards issue-based, values-driven voting.
For Labour, it is a warning. For the independents, it is an opportunity. And for many voters in Newham, it is a moment to decide whether loyalty still matters – or whether accountability comes first.













